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Myth: Concealed Carry Laws Increase Crime

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Fact: Forty states1 , comprising the majority of the American population, are “right-to-carry” states. Statistics show that in these states the crime rate fell (or did not rise) after the right-to-carry law became active (as of July, 2006). Nine states deny or restrict the right to carry.

Fact: Crime rates involving gun owners with carry permits have consistently been about 0.02% of all carry permit holders since Florida’s right-to-carry law started in 1988.2

Fact: After passing their concealed carry law, Florida’s homicide rate fell from 36% above the national average to 4% below, and remains below the national average (as of the last reporting period, 2005).3

Fact: In Texas, murder rates fell 50% faster than the national average in the year after their concealed carry law passed. Rape rates fell 93% faster in the first year after enactment, and 500% faster in the second153. Assaults fell 250% faster in the second year.4

Fact: More to the point, crime is significantly higher in states without right-to-carry laws5:

Fact: States that disallow concealed carry have violent crime rates 11% higher than national averages.6

Fact: Deaths and injuries from mass public shootings fall dramatically after right-to-carry concealed handgun laws are enacted. Between 1977 and 19977, the average death rate from mass shootings plummeted by up to 91% after such laws went into effect, and injuries dropped by over 80%. 8

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This is an excerpt from “Gun Facts” by Guy Smith, available free from http://www.gunfacts.info

  1. At publication time two more states, Kansas and Nebraska, have pass shall-issue legislation, but insufficient data was available to determine how the change has impacted crime rates.
  2. Florida Department of Justice, 1998
  3. Cramer C and Kopel D. Shall issue: the new wave of concealed handgun permit laws. Golden CO: Independence Institute Issue Paper. October 17, 1994
  4. Bureau of Justice Statistics, online database, reviewing Texas and U.S. violent crime from 1995-2001.
  5. John Lott, David Mustard: This study involved county level crime statistics from all 3,054 counties in the U.S.,
    from 1977 through 1992. During this time ten states adopted right-to-carry laws. It is estimated that if all states had adopted right-to-carry laws, in 1992 the US would have avoided 1,400 murders, 4,200 rapes, 12,000 robberies,
    60,000 aggravated assaults – and saved over $5,000,000,000 in victim expenses.
  6. FBI, Uniform Crime Reports, 2004 - excludes Hawaii and Rhode Island - small populations and geographic isolation create other determinants to violent crime
  7. Federal legislation created a nation “gun-free schools” policy, effective in 1996. Some criminologists maintain this created a new dynamic, encouraging mass murder on campus. Thus after 1995 it is increasing difficult to make comparisons based on the effects of CCWs and mass shootings.
  8. “Multiple Victim Public Shootings, Bombings, and Right-to-Carry Concealed Handgun Laws: Contrasting Private and Public Law Enforcement”, John Lott and William Landes, Law School of the University of Chicago, Law & Economics Working Paper No. 73
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